UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Austin Peay
  
Austin Peay           
W-L: ( 0- 7) PR = 87.4467

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 1- 7 207 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 3- 8 220 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 2- 8 221 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 2- 3 310 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 9 407 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 5-11 505 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 1- 2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Georgia State           1- 7      -6    -3    -     -2.79
   207 A Georgia State           3- 8      -5    -5          -0.31
   220 A Sam Houston             2- 8      -6    -5          -1.06
   221 A Sam Houston             2- 3      -1    -5    +      3.94
   310 A Tennessee               1- 9      -8   -10    +      2.21
   407 H Middle Tennessee        5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.94
   505 A Florida Gulf Coast      1- 2      -1    -3           1.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Georgia State           1- 7      -6    -3    -     -2.79
   407 H Middle Tennessee        5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Sam Houston             2- 3      -1    -5    +      3.94
   310 A Tennessee               1- 9      -8   -10    +      2.21

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Georgia State   (24-31, 91.4)     1- 7       -8.50      10.87      -0.74         3.60           -16.64
   3 A Georgia State   (24-31, 91.4)     3- 8       -8.50      10.87       0.74         3.60           -13.97
   3 A Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     2- 8       -8.26      11.11       0.74         3.60           -13.53
   3 A Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     2- 3       -8.26      11.11       0.74         3.60           -13.53
   3 A Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     1- 9       -2.99      16.38       0.74         3.60            -4.04
   3 H Middle Tenness  (22-27, 90.2)     5-11       -9.65       9.72      -0.74         3.60           -18.71
   3 A Florida Gulf C  ( 3-18, 89.7)     1- 2      -10.24       9.13       0.74         3.60           -17.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -97.53

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -97.5289

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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